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Red51
765211.3
445818.7
877516.5
Blue53
152312.8
317318.6
438812.6
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46473540505560655153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#11
18.71.0
15.716.6
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End1.4
red by 0.1
3173
#15
18.60.6
13.614.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Second
8775
#13
16.51.0
15.816.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 3.6
1523
#20
12.80.6
14.314.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
7652
#38
11.31.0
10.611.6
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 1.3
12.60.6
14.815.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed