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Red29
88616.3
541010.6
97259.3
Blue28
66866.5
69419.1
17446.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32361020405060702928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#27
10.60.1
11.811.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 8.5
694
#7
19.11.0
17.616.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Second
9725
#30
9.30.1
8.58.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End1.3
red by 2.8
6686
#34
6.51.0
6.45.3
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Third
8861
#26
6.30.1
9.49.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Level
1744
#18
6.31.0
8.37.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed