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Red29
765211.3
58726.6
8069.7
Blue44
445818.7
881712.2
3487.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294010205060702944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7652
#38
11.30.4
11.611.2
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 7.3
4458
#11
18.70.4
16.617.1
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Second
806
#24
9.70.4
8.98.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 2.6
8817
#28
12.20.4
12.713.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Third
5872
#33
6.60.4
7.06.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 0.4
348
#37
7.00.4
5.45.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed