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Red36
7449.7
238320.7
630019.2
Blue58
555725.5
97798.7
33907.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49300204060803658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.6
17.616.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 4.8
5557
#10
25.52.5
19.221.7
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Second
6300
#16
19.20.6
15.615.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 10.5
9779
#22
8.72.5
4.67.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Third
744
#32
9.70.6
8.88.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End1.8
red by 2.5
3390
#25
7.22.5
5.88.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed