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Red34
36275.1
881712.2
152312.8
Blue83
69419.1
94048.8
630019.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30480204060803483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#20
12.80.4
12.713.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 6.3
6300
#16
19.22.4
17.419.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Second
8817
#28
12.20.4
11.311.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 6.9
694
#7
19.12.4
17.319.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Third
3627
#39
5.10.4
5.15.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 3.7
9404
#29
8.82.4
6.48.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned