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Red52
10822.9
7449.7
90408.1
Blue32
96939.0
393213.4
88616.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42331020506070805232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#5
22.91.3
21.422.7
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
red by 9.6
3932
#19
13.40.4
13.713.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
Second
744
#32
9.71.3
8.29.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End1.8
red by 0.7
9693
#31
9.00.4
10.19.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Third
9040
#23
8.11.3
7.38.6
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 1.7
8861
#26
6.30.4
7.36.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed