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Red55
58726.6
555725.5
547223.9
Blue29
94048.8
90408.1
420614.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593002040801005529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#10
25.50.4
22.122.5
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
red by 11.3
4206
#14
14.20.1
14.113.9
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Second
23.90.4
22.522.9
Auto6.8
Teleop16.0
End1.0
red by 15.1
9404
#29
8.80.1
7.97.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Third
5872
#33
6.60.4
5.76.1
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 1.4
9040
#23
8.10.1
8.68.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed