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Red37
17446.3
18023.4
96939.0
Blue76
5918.8
17930.3
97798.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426020801003776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
23.40.3
24.023.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
blue by 6.9
179
#1
30.31.9
27.229.1
Auto14.1
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Second
9693
#31
9.00.3
9.79.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 9.8
59
#21
18.82.0
17.419.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Third
1744
#18
6.30.3
6.86.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
blue by 2.4
9779
#22
8.72.0
7.59.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned