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Red36
765211.3
630019.2
78336.7
Blue33
97259.3
317318.6
94029.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35391020305060703633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6300
#16
19.20.4
14.414.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 0.6
3173
#15
18.60.2
17.217.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Second
7652
#38
11.30.3
11.812.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
red by 2.0
9725
#30
9.30.2
8.98.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Third
7833
#36
6.70.3
5.86.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 2.5
9402
#35
9.10.2
8.98.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed