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Red23
90408.1
541010.6
96939.0
Blue31
97259.3
58726.6
7449.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332501020405060702331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#27
10.60.4
11.110.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 0.9
744
#32
9.70.6
8.69.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End1.8
Second
9693
#31
9.00.4
9.59.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 0.3
9725
#30
9.30.6
8.89.3
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Third
9040
#23
8.10.4
8.58.1
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 1.4
5872
#33
6.60.6
6.16.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed