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Red49
8069.7
94029.1
877516.5
Blue74
66866.5
630019.2
555725.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36470102030406070804974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8775
#13
16.50.4
15.616.0
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End1.2
blue by 9.0
5557
#10
25.52.4
22.524.9
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Second
806
#24
9.70.4
9.39.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 9.5
6300
#16
19.22.7
14.717.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Third
9402
#35
9.10.4
8.79.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.1
red by 2.6
6686
#34
6.52.4
4.16.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed