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Red32
76764.2
363515.0
602310.4
Blue53
47302.9
747010.3
450927.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274202060801003253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.4
13.313.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 12.0
27.00.5
26.326.8
Auto14.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
6023
#13
10.40.4
6.46.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
red by 0.1
7470
#18
10.30.5
5.66.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Third
7676
#20
4.20.4
6.26.6
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.6
red by 1.3
4730
#29
2.90.5
3.94.4
Auto1.4
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned