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Red70
69050.6
691927.3
126139.6
Blue34
52196.7
141424.2
44591.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions763302040601001207034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.5
35.035.5
Auto16.5
Teleop22.3
End0.9
red by 15.4
24.20.0
21.721.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
Second
27.30.5
22.222.7
Auto10.7
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 20.6
5219
#24
6.70.0
5.55.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Third
6905
#27
0.60.5
6.06.4
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.4
blue by 1.2
4459
#19
1.80.0
7.57.5
Auto1.1
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed