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Red34
71048.2
692519.8
411215.7
Blue71
332910.1
177142.4
884912.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4969204060801001203471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.8
20.619.8
Auto10.2
Teleop8.8
End0.8
blue by 22.6
42.40.4
39.940.3
Auto20.8
Teleop17.9
End3.7
Second
4112
#16
15.70.8
16.515.6
Auto9.3
Teleop5.6
End0.8
red by 3.0
12.60.4
12.112.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Third
7104
#15
8.20.8
9.58.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 1.8
3329
#11
10.10.4
8.38.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned