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Red21
241517.7
44591.8
88156.6
Blue46
682914.9
71048.2
33446.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383002060801002146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#12
17.70.8
16.515.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End1.0
red by 2.8
6829
#10
14.90.5
13.013.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Second
8815
#25
6.60.8
9.78.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End1.2
blue by 1.6
7104
#15
8.20.5
8.79.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Third
4459
#19
1.80.8
7.56.6
Auto1.1
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
blue by 5.1
3344
#14
6.90.5
6.77.2
Auto4.5
Teleop0.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed