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Red51
52196.7
692519.8
332910.1
Blue15
50744.6
884912.6
58482.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402201030506070805115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.5
19.820.2
Auto10.2
Teleop8.8
End0.8
red by 7.1
12.60.8
12.511.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Second
3329
#11
10.10.5
8.79.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 5.5
5074
#26
4.60.8
5.64.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Third
5219
#24
6.70.5
5.55.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End0.9
red by 3.9
5848
#28
2.80.8
4.33.5
Auto0.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed