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Red89
126139.6
363515.0
926020.6
Blue67
747010.3
47302.9
177142.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805002040601001201408967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.3
35.535.8
Auto16.5
Teleop22.3
End0.9
blue by 2.7
42.41.2
40.341.5
Auto20.8
Teleop17.9
End3.7
Second
20.60.3
19.820.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 10.3
7470
#18
10.31.2
6.67.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Third
15.00.3
13.714.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 12.1
4730
#29
2.91.2
2.33.5
Auto1.4
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed