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Red49
141424.2
602310.4
42409.1
Blue16
88156.6
71048.2
76764.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402502060804916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.6
19.520.2
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
red by 16.0
7104
#15
8.20.9
9.28.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Second
6023
#13
10.40.6
8.18.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
red by 3.7
8815
#25
6.60.9
8.97.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End1.2
Third
4240
#23
9.10.6
6.77.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 4.8
7676
#20
4.20.9
6.65.7
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed