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Red40
58482.8
363515.0
33446.9
Blue27
88156.6
50744.6
747010.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292304060804027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.6
14.114.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 4.7
7470
#18
10.30.0
7.87.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Second
3344
#14
6.90.6
8.28.8
Auto4.5
Teleop0.8
End1.6
red by 0.3
8815
#25
6.60.0
7.98.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End1.2
Third
5848
#28
2.80.6
3.44.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 1.8
5074
#26
4.60.0
5.75.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed