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Red70
682914.9
926020.6
450927.0
Blue72
126139.6
76764.2
141424.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968606570757072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.5
28.228.8
Auto14.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
blue by 12.6
39.60.7
35.536.2
Auto16.5
Teleop22.3
End0.9
Second
20.60.5
20.220.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
blue by 3.6
24.20.7
20.220.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
Third
6829
#10
14.90.5
13.714.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 10.7
7676
#20
4.20.7
5.76.4
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed