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Red80
691927.3
602310.4
177142.4
Blue23
241517.7
75147.0
884912.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90320204060801001201408023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.3
41.642.0
Auto20.8
Teleop17.9
End3.7
red by 24.6
2415
#12
17.70.9
17.216.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End1.0
Second
27.30.3
24.424.8
Auto10.7
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 14.7
12.60.9
12.111.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Third
6023
#13
10.40.3
8.89.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
red by 3.4
7514
#22
7.00.9
6.65.8
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed