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Red55
332910.1
411215.7
42409.1
Blue8
69050.6
52196.7
44687.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4114010203050607080558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#16
15.71.4
16.117.6
Auto9.3
Teleop5.6
End0.8
red by 8.5
4468
#21
7.20.5
5.95.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Second
3329
#11
10.11.4
10.111.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 3.4
5219
#24
6.70.5
5.65.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Third
4240
#23
9.11.4
7.48.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 8.4
6905
#27
0.60.5
4.54.0
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed