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Red77
682914.9
884912.6
141424.2
Blue24
42409.1
47302.9
582811.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46100204060801007724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.22.6
19.121.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
red by 12.8
5828
#17
11.40.4
6.56.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End0.8
Second
6829
#10
14.92.6
8.611.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 5.8
4240
#23
9.10.4
4.04.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Third
12.62.6
9.612.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
red by 9.7
4730
#29
2.90.4
2.83.2
Auto1.4
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed