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Red58
76764.2
177142.4
33446.9
Blue25
363515.0
71048.2
52196.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572602040801001205825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.3
38.338.7
Auto20.8
Teleop17.9
End3.7
red by 27.4
15.00.5
12.612.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Second
3344
#14
6.90.3
3.64.0
Auto4.5
Teleop0.8
End1.6
blue by 1.3
7104
#15
8.20.5
8.48.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Third
7676
#20
4.20.3
6.06.4
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 2.5
5219
#24
6.70.5
6.15.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed