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Red44
71048.2
582811.4
52196.7
Blue21
926020.6
69050.6
58482.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243101020405060704421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5828
#17
11.40.8
11.011.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End0.8
blue by 9.2
20.60.4
20.720.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
7104
#15
8.20.8
6.47.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
red by 5.4
5848
#28
2.80.4
4.13.7
Auto0.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Third
5219
#24
6.70.8
5.05.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End0.9
red by 6.1
6905
#27
0.60.4
2.82.4
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed