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Red20
177142.4
44591.8
50744.6
Blue51
241517.7
141424.2
363515.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605902040801001201402051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.42.3
43.441.1
Auto20.8
Teleop17.9
End3.7
red by 18.1
24.20.1
22.622.5
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
Second
5074
#26
4.62.3
5.33.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 13.1
2415
#12
17.70.1
16.015.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End1.0
Third
4459
#19
1.82.3
5.12.9
Auto1.1
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
blue by 13.2
15.00.1
14.614.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed