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Red70
884912.6
33446.9
126139.6
Blue20
332910.1
76764.2
411215.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67310204060801007020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.9
37.137.9
Auto16.5
Teleop22.3
End0.9
red by 24.0
4112
#16
15.70.8
17.116.3
Auto9.3
Teleop5.6
End0.8
Second
12.60.9
12.713.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
red by 2.5
3329
#11
10.10.8
10.810.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
3344
#14
6.90.9
6.87.7
Auto4.5
Teleop0.8
End1.6
red by 2.7
7676
#20
4.20.8
4.33.5
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed