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Red74
745123.9
297440.2
88657.6
Blue65
634021.7
402613.9
95007.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8539020601001207465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.1
40.140.2
Auto14.2
Teleop25.1
End0.9
red by 18.5
21.70.5
20.921.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Second
23.90.1
23.823.9
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 9.9
4026
#10
13.90.5
13.113.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
8865
#29
7.60.1
7.57.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Level
9500
#24
7.60.5
6.87.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3