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Red33
445125.6
510914.6
418910.1
Blue87
634021.7
402613.9
95007.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5942020801003387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.4
26.025.6
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 3.9
21.70.3
20.620.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Second
14.60.4
15.114.6
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
red by 0.7
4026
#10
13.90.3
12.813.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
4189
#26
10.10.4
10.510.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.0
red by 2.5
9500
#24
7.60.3
6.56.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3