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Red36
95007.6
402613.9
141419.1
Blue15
88657.6
671210.9
81008.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301601020405060703615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.1
15.816.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
red by 8.2
6712
#19
10.90.1
6.86.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Second
4026
#10
13.90.7
4.95.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 5.2
8100
#22
8.70.1
3.93.9
Auto1.4
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Third
9500
#24
7.60.7
5.25.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Level
8865
#29
7.60.1
5.75.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed