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Red2
17954.5
95228.8
164814.2
Blue67
510914.6
745123.9
363512.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2651020406080267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#15
14.21.6
9.27.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 9.7
23.91.6
20.121.7
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
9522
#31
8.81.6
11.49.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 5.8
14.61.6
11.112.7
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
Third
1795
#23
4.51.6
5.84.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 8.1
3635
#12
12.62.7
11.814.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed