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Red37
808014.7
85775.3
634021.7
Blue22
56514.4
95007.6
418910.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2916010204050603722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.8
16.317.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
red by 11.6
4189
#26
10.10.4
9.59.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Second
14.70.8
8.79.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
red by 7.1
9500
#24
7.60.4
5.96.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
8577
#27
5.30.8
-0.10.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End0.6
red by 0.9
5651
#33
4.40.4
0.61.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed