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Red71
671210.9
8327.7
297440.2
Blue5
30917.7
44596.8
694410.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59120204080715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.21.5
34.836.3
Auto14.2
Teleop25.1
End0.9
red by 29.7
6944
#11
10.50.8
4.63.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Second
6712
#19
10.91.5
6.78.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
red by 3.2
3091
#28
7.70.8
4.63.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.4
Third
832
#20
7.71.5
6.58.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 0.8
4459
#21
6.81.3
7.36.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed