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Red75
445125.6
81008.7
745123.9
Blue7
68875.3
97707.1
45163.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6080204080100120757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.5
22.323.8
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 18.5
9770
#34
7.10.4
4.84.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Second
23.91.5
21.723.2
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 18.6
6887
#38
5.30.4
5.95.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Third
8100
#22
8.71.5
3.95.3
Auto1.4
Teleop6.8
End0.5
red by 5.3
4516
#32
3.40.4
2.42.0
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed