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Red13
58485.8
95228.8
590012.6
Blue38
88657.6
17954.5
529317.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302401020405060701338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5900
#14
12.61.2
8.06.8
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End1.9
blue by 4.7
17.31.0
12.613.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
9522
#31
8.81.2
9.88.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
red by 1.2
8865
#29
7.61.0
5.66.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Third
5848
#35DQ
5.82.0
8.66.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
red by 1.3
1795
#23
4.51.0
4.25.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed