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Red21
926017.2
90574.5
81008.7
Blue35
381512.4
402613.9
510914.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263702060801001202135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#18
17.20.5
14.413.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End1.7
red by 2.5
14.60.1
13.413.5
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
Second
8100
#22
8.70.3
5.35.0
Auto1.4
Teleop6.8
End0.5
blue by 5.2
4026
#10
13.90.1
5.65.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
9057
#25
4.50.3
5.55.2
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
blue by 7.9
3815
#13
12.40.1
13.113.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed