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Red19
671210.9
95228.8
44596.8
Blue18
95825.9
8327.7
30917.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2620010304050601918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6712
#19
10.90.3
8.38.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
red by 3.2
3091
#28
7.70.2
3.93.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.4
Second
9522
#31
8.80.3
8.58.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
red by 1.2
832
#20
7.70.2
8.07.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
4459
#21
6.80.4
6.05.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
red by 0.9
9582
#30
5.90.2
7.16.9
Auto0.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed