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Red52
529317.3
68875.3
445125.6
Blue56
402613.9
297440.2
363512.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45632040801005256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.6
23.824.4
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
blue by 14.6
40.20.6
36.335.8
Auto14.2
Teleop25.1
End0.9
Second
17.30.6
13.714.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 3.4
4026
#10
13.90.6
5.65.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
6887
#38
5.30.6
5.56.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
blue by 7.3
3635
#12
12.61.0
12.811.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed