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Red39
745123.9
670513.4
164814.2
Blue24
926017.2
634021.7
141419.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475530405060703924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.3
23.222.9
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 2.2
21.71.7
17.115.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Second
1648
#15
14.20.3
7.26.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 4.9
19.12.8
17.714.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Third
6705
#17
13.40.3
13.012.7
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End0.9
blue by 3.8
9260
#18
17.22.8
13.911.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed