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Red9
87615.5
95007.6
88657.6
Blue26
418910.1
381512.4
90574.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193301040506070926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8865
#29
7.60.6
6.66.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 4.8
3815
#13
12.40.1
13.113.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
Second
9500
#24
7.60.6
6.35.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 2.5
4189
#26
10.10.1
9.99.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Third
8761
#36
5.50.6
5.65.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
red by 0.9
9057
#25
4.50.1
5.25.0
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed