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Red37
886611.2
56514.4
81008.7
Blue9
95228.8
8327.7
10024.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1425020406080379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8866
#16
11.21.2
8.49.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 2.3
9522
#31
8.81.2
8.37.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Second
8100
#22
8.71.2
5.06.2
Auto1.4
Teleop6.8
End0.5
red by 1.1
832
#20
7.71.2
7.86.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
5651
#33
4.41.2
0.81.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 0.2
1002
#37
4.61.2
5.64.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed