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Red35
17954.5
445125.6
808014.7
Blue37
68875.3
694410.5
671210.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511704060801003537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.5
24.424.0
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 14.7
6712
#19
10.91.1
8.09.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Second
14.70.5
10.610.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
red by 4.2
6944
#11
10.51.1
4.96.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Third
1795
#23
4.50.5
6.76.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 0.8
6887
#38
5.31.1
6.17.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed