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Red31
95007.6
590012.6
90574.5
Blue24
363512.6
164814.2
45163.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212301030403124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5900
#14
12.60.7
8.28.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End1.9
blue by 1.6
1648
#15
14.20.2
6.97.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Second
9500
#24
7.60.7
5.76.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 5.0
3635
#12
12.60.4
11.812.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Third
9057
#25
4.50.7
5.05.7
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
red by 1.1
4516
#32
3.40.2
1.82.0
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed