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Red64
297440.2
88657.6
44596.8
Blue6
30917.7
510914.6
87615.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571904080100646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.8
35.836.5
Auto14.2
Teleop25.1
End0.9
red by 25.5
14.61.1
13.512.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
Second
8865
#29
7.60.8
6.06.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 0.1
3091
#28
7.71.1
3.72.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.4
Third
4459
#21
6.81.3
5.66.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
red by 1.4
8761
#36
5.51.1
5.03.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed