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Red20
634021.7
87615.5
90574.5
Blue38
95228.8
808014.7
363512.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25340102030405060702038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
14.013.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
red by 7.0
14.70.1
10.210.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Second
8761
#36
5.50.2
3.93.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
blue by 7.1
3635
#12
12.60.2
12.212.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Third
9057
#25
4.50.2
5.75.5
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
blue by 4.3
9522
#31
8.80.1
7.17.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed