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Red95
141419.1
529317.3
297440.2
Blue25
45163.4
418824.6
17954.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7923040601001209525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.22.0
36.538.5
Auto14.2
Teleop25.1
End0.9
red by 15.6
24.60.2
19.619.4
Auto9.6
Teleop13.9
End1.1
Second
19.13.3
14.117.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
red by 14.6
1795
#23
4.50.2
6.36.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Third
17.32.0
14.316.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 14.0
4516
#32
3.40.2
2.01.8
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed