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Red26
17954.5
68875.3
402613.9
Blue62
634021.7
95007.6
164814.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19360103040506070802662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#10
13.90.1
7.37.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
blue by 7.8
21.70.8
14.915.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Second
6887
#38
5.30.1
5.96.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
blue by 8.9
1648
#15
14.20.8
9.310.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Third
1795
#23
4.50.1
5.75.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 3.0
9500
#24
7.60.8
6.06.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed