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Red40
30917.7
85775.3
418824.6
Blue16
56514.4
529317.3
87615.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302101040506070804016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.9
20.521.4
Auto9.6
Teleop13.9
End1.1
red by 7.3
17.30.6
15.615.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
3091
#28
7.70.9
4.04.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.4
red by 2.3
8761
#36
5.50.6
2.72.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Third
8577
#27
5.30.9
1.62.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End0.6
red by 0.9
5651
#33
4.40.6
2.01.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed