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Red44
590012.6
510914.6
8327.7
Blue22
90574.5
58485.8
141419.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31360102040506070804422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.61.0
12.413.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
blue by 4.5
19.11.7
19.617.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Second
5900
#14
12.61.0
10.111.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End1.9
red by 6.8
5848
#35
5.81.7
7.45.8
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Third
832
#20
7.71.0
6.37.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 3.1
9057
#25
4.51.0
5.04.0
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed