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Red71
87615.5
670513.4
445125.6
Blue8
745123.9
17954.5
95007.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041102030506070718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.3
23.925.2
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 1.7
23.92.0
23.521.5
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
6705
#17
13.41.3
10.712.0
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End0.9
red by 5.8
9500
#24
7.62.0
6.84.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
8761
#36
5.51.3
2.13.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
red by 0.9
1795
#23
4.52.0
5.83.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed